Read this take on resistance to gun confiscation first.
I agree that police will not be engaging in gun confiscation; at least not for long. Most street cops will not be participating because that’s not their job and once cops start getting killed during gun raids many will refuse or quit. Despite the legion of anti-gun assholes who don’t know what they’re talking about, cops value their skin more than their paychecks. Many cops won’t put themselves at risk of certain death and more than you know are just as eager to give the finger to gun control, especially in California.
Now what cops will participate? Minorities who are first or second generation Americans who have little to no experience with a gun culture. They come from top-down compliance societies where people are expected to obey authorities and guns are generally viewed as “bad.” They will be antagonistic towards Americans because they do not understand our patriotic, individualistic culture that literally celebrates rebellion against tyranny such as this. For Latin Americans and Asians in policing that come from a country where only the police and criminals have guns, seeing the violence and non-compliance will not endear gun owners to them.
Your average street cop won’t be knocking on your door for your guns. There will be too many SWAT teams to do it, but surely there will be some hitting high-profile targets. Abused red flag laws will end up with more cops getting shot. Someone will escalate it into killing a cop’s family after a raid goes wrong and an innocent kid is killed. Then snipers at the police station, etc. as the whole damn thing unravels and the rhetoric escalates.
I can see specialized task forces of local, state, and federal cops volunteering for gun confiscation duty. They will be pariahs in law enforcement much as the ATF is, but worse. These will be the hard chargers with a mission who will come to your door in tactical gear. They can’t get us all, but expect the tall nails to be hit first. I think the actual scheme and effects will look more like as follows.
Mandatory compliance will be required. What you are allowed to keep will be required to be registered.
Compliance will be checked by tracing ownership from Form 4473s and if you did not surrender or declare, you better have a good answer for who you sold it to.
Those bitter clingers who do not turn in their guns or cannot give a good account of what happened to them will probably get an escalating series of nasty letters.
Anyone who gets picked up for non-compliance will be arrested in public at a traffic stop or some environment where it is least hazardous to the arrest team. If you happen to find yourself on a non-compliance list for ignoring all those letters, expect to have a warrant out for your arrest. They’ll pick you up at a traffic stop for something unrelated to guns.
Non-compliers will have a target painted on their backs. The vindictive power of the government will likely fall upon you; we’re talking IRS audits, Social Security payments stopping, the VA declaring you incompetent because of 10% PTSD rating, etc. That’s just at the federal level. At the state level, just imagine your driver license being suspended, your kids taken away from you, letters being sent to your employer that you are “known to carry and possess” dangerous weapons.
All the while in the background politicians are being assassinated, cop-haters using gun confiscation as an excuse to kill innocent cops, crazies are shooting up Walmarts, political protests turning into something out of The Troubles, and nobody being safe or secure anywhere. Imagine living in a time and place where mass shootings, random killings, racial violence, bombing, government terror, etc. are all commonplace.
Even if you have relative peace in your area, where the gun control is popular like California, using a gun even in legitimate self-defense will be problematic. You’ll be lucky if the cops are cool and do the bear minimum of taking your self-defense gun or the ones in the house instead of hauling you in on federal gun charges.
Mob of Antifa trying to burn down your house and you whip out that AR pistol with 30 round magazines to drive them off? You save your family but at the price of going to jail on gun charges and having your yard dug up. The government will force you to choose between stopping that robbery or revealing you kept an evil pistol. So bury those 80% guns deep.
So to recap, imagine a world of unimaginable violence, like Israel before the switch to rocket attacks, or as author Matt Bracken puts it, “Rwanda times Bosnia.” On top of that, the government already suspects you of owning guns and they will deal with you ever so harshly if they can get you on gun charges. So despite having an arsenal for just this situation, if you use it, you’re going to be pilloried for doing just that.